Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.009667 0.011563 0.013890 0.017014 0.021183 0.026694 0.034771
2025-03-16 0.007394 0.009617 0.012702 0.017489 0.025133 0.037698 0.062133
2025-03-23 0.006093 0.008345 0.011721 0.017504 0.028026 0.048640 0.100656
2025-03-30 0.005100 0.007226 0.010587 0.016754 0.029118 0.057004 0.146120
2025-04-06 0.004451 0.006486 0.009845 0.016388 0.030703 0.067675 0.220392
2025-04-13 0.004072 0.006098 0.009592 0.016825 0.034203 0.086639 0.391173
2025-04-20 0.003852 0.005931 0.009679 0.017959 0.040034 0.120418 0.893579
2025-04-27 0.003618 0.005698 0.009592 0.018684 0.045300 0.161877 2.313894
2025-05-04 0.003346 0.005360 0.009232 0.018664 0.048387 0.200880 6.321591
2025-05-11 0.003113 0.005061 0.008900 0.018618 0.051465 0.249582 27.510598
2025-05-18 0.002876 0.004726 0.008441 0.018122 0.052670 0.291186 237.176726
2025-05-25 0.002639 0.004369 0.007885 0.017234 0.051892 0.316360 42572.078788
2025-06-01 0.002441 0.004090 0.007508 0.016898 0.054009 0.392871 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002315 0.003941 0.007407 0.017369 0.060554 0.587393 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002177 0.003751 0.007177 0.017383 0.065097 0.827310 NaN
2025-06-22 0.002013 0.003492 0.006748 0.016640 0.064927 0.979942 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001887 0.003300 0.006455 0.016278 0.066899 1.281680 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001814 0.003211 0.006399 0.016711 0.074741 2.250212 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001776 0.003194 0.006521 0.017834 0.089727 6.153551 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001723 0.003137 0.006530 0.018552 0.103447 20.389191 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001645 0.003020 0.006364 0.018532 0.110715 64.524719 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001574 0.002910 0.006203 0.018487 0.118154 432.985261 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001494 0.002774 0.005954 0.017995 0.119964 5966.810729 NaN